As the 25/26 Premier League season approaches, we bring you a full breakdown of Mohammed Kudus’ transfer to Spurs and how he impacts the upcoming FPL season! We break down Kudus’ position and role, his individual impact, the impact to his team and what all of that means for his FPL value. We also take a shot at estimating his price range and stats!
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Transfer Overview:
Transfer:
West Ham to Tottenham Hotspur.
Tranfer Fee:
£55 million.
Contract Length:
6 years. Contract runs until 2031.
Wage:
Reported around £150k per week plus likely goal, assist and trophy bonuses.
Individual Analysis:
Position:
Kudus’ best position is as a winger but he does have a diverse skillset and was used on both wings and as a 10 at times for West Ham, playing under 3 different managers in Moyes, Lopetegui and Potter.
Even though he played more on the left hand side for West Ham, If I were to drill his absolute best position down, I believe it is as a RW with the ability to come inside onto his left foot.
His pace, strength, dribbling ability, as well as his passing and crossing ability means he has the capacity to play multiple roles in a forward line. He is a versatile and adaptable player and I’m sure Thomas Frank will take advantage of that at times when needed, but I think Frank will look to hone his skills, get him to be more efficient which very well may involve keeping him on the right hand side for the majority of his minutes.
(Source: Sofascore.com)
Role & Stats:
Kudus is an incredibly athletic and fairly raw winger but does possess a varied skillset and is a talented creative player and elite dribbler. I just believe he needs game time as well as better coaching and teammates to become a more efficient and consistently good decision maker.
Kudus scored 5 goals from 6.9xG in 31 starts last season. Neither of these are impressive number and FPL managers are going to want a lot more from a player who will likely cost £6.5m to begin the season.
Not only is 6.9xG not a great number for an attacking player with that many starts, but he under-performed his xG by nearly 2 full goals. The hope is that Frank uses him as more of a true forward line player off the right, and gets him to focus more on being a goal threat or delivering assists in the final third. Kudus’ ball striking at times can be hit or miss, so that is an area Frank will need to work on.
The reasons behind his low xG are that Kudus was not really used as a primary goal threat despite being what we consider an attacking player. He would collect the ball from deeper positions and carry the ball past multiple players to get West Ham up the pitch many times last season. He completed 92 dribbles last season which was the 100th percentile for Premier League attackers – meaning essentially no player had more. He did this at a 48% success rate which was 76th percentile in the league.
He is now joining a better attacking team with a better coach. Frank has moulded the likes of Mbeumo and Wissa, and Brentford were consistently year after year able to score goals despite limited investment in their years in the Premier League.
Spurs finished scored 60xG to West Ham’s 48xG last season. Spurs also created 9 more Big Chances than West Ham and have now brought in a better manager and added Kudus’ skillset to their attacking forces. Kudus is in a situation where he should and I think will score more goals than he did last season.
Kudus is a talented creative player who can and should take a jump in his chance creation numbers this season. He only had 3 assists from 2.7xA last season but he shows a good eye for a pass, and an ability to execute high level passes and crosses in the final third, but just lacks consistency and as stated previously, was forced to play from deeper areas than is ideal for West Ham.
(Source: Footmob.com)
Expected Minutes:
Locked in starter for the majority of Premier League games if he is fit. Spurs don’t spend £55 million on a player without him likely being a starter, and he was hand picked by Thomas Frank as the first signing of his new tenure as Spurs manager.
He is a better player with far more potential and talent than Johnson, Tel or Odobert. Son is ageing and his best position is no longer on the wing. Richarlison is incredibly injury prone. It is difficult to see how Kudus, health permitting, doesn’t start 32-36 league games. Yes they have Champions League football but they won’t go far in that competition.
FPL Position:
Cheap Forward
FPL Analysis:
Kudus should be a cheap Midfielder, somewhere between £6.5m-£7.0m and likely will have a pretty low EO to begin the season. FPL managers will have mostly been underwhelmed by his season, especially because of the 5 game suspension he got.
Despite the fact his expected minutes should be pretty secure, and even with a solid jump in production, he is hard to justify owning early in the season at his likely price. He is a believe it when I see it FPL profile.
If he starts the season at £6.0m and is performing well in early games and his heatmap is looking different to that of West Ham, then he might be a value but that is a lot of “ifs”.
A plus for Kudus could be him becoming Spurs number 1 set piece taker. He often took corners and free kicks for West Ham. If he does assume that role, that is a big plus for his value.
Team Impact:
Kudus adds a level of pace combined with strength and ball carrying ability that they didn’t previously possess in their squad. He is arguably the most dynamic dribbler in the league and that is a skillset Spurs lacked outside of even less proven players like Odobert and Tel.
Kudus adds a creativity and chance creation ability that Johnson, Tel, Richarlison and Son at his age do not. If Frank can hone his ability and get him to play a in the final third more, and play in a more efficient manner, as he did with Mbeumo over their years together, Kudus could become Spurs best creative outlet.
This likely means significantly less minutes for 2 of Son, Johnson, Tel or Odobert. Solanke and Kudus will be consistent starters.
FPL Price Range Prediction:
£6.5m-£7.0m
My Prediction:
I won’t own Kudus to begin the season. I do think Frank is going to help take his game, his efficiency and decision making to the next level and he is now playing around better players. However I believe his game is raw enough that his jump in production still won’t make owning him good value at his FPL price. He needs to become a bigger goal threat and find himself in better goal scoring positions for me to seriously consider owning him.
Naturally, if we see he has taken a significant jump under Frank’s coaching, playing with better players, and he is on set pieces too, then we reassess and potentially get in the door early on a talented player. However, right now there are other Midfielders in the £6.0m-£7.0m price range I would rather own.
An absolute FPL Fanatic, with a strong background in sports Journalism and statistics, Ahsan is one of the key writers here at ingenuity. Ahsan's content stretches from How-to guides right up to analytical deep dives on players, making his content appealing for both the serious fantasy player and newbie alike.