As the 25/26 Premier League season approaches, we bring you a full breakdown of Bryan Mbeumo’s transfer to Man United and how he impacts the upcoming FPL season! We break down Mbeumo’s position and role, his individual impact, the impact to his team and what all of that means for his FPL value. We also take a shot at estimating his price range and stats!
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Transfer Overview:
Transfer:
From Brentford to Man United
Tranfer Fee:
£65 million plus £6 milliom in add ons.
Contract Length:
5 years plus 1 year option. Contract runs until 2030/2031.
Wage:
Rumoured to be around £200k per week plus likely goal, assist and trophy bonuses.
Individual Analysis:
Position:
Mbeumo’s natural position is on the right wing coming in onto his left foot. His skillset makes him more than capable of playing in multiple positions including the right number 10 role in Amorim’s system, playing alongside Cunha. I think he is also capable of leading the line ahead of the two 10’s and may need to do so at times if United are dealing with injuries, especially as Hojlund and Zirkzee are currently their other strikers.
Logic would dictate he does play alongside Cunha in the right side 10 role, and will be given the freedom of central spaces as well as the right hand side to make his own. He will have the freedom to drift wide and create from wide spaces or to drift centrally and be more of a goal threat.
(Source: Sofascore.com)
Role & Stats:
Mbeumo is a right winger/right sided forward with a complete skill set and attacking profile.
He is a high level goal threat and finisher, a good dribbler who can take his man on 1 on 1 as well as someone that can create quality chances from wide areas. Genuinely, he is somewhat of a B-rate Mohamed Salah and that is meant with no disrespect. A “B-rate” Salah is still an elite player that can get you 20-30 G/A in the Premier League.
Mbeumo scored 15 non penalty goals from 7.53 non penalty xG last season, which is a massive over-performance of xG. This could be looked at in 2 ways. In a positive sense you could look at that and praise Mbeumo’s elite finishing. You praise his ability to score goals from low xG opportunities due to elite ball striking and clinical finishing. On the other hand, you could say that overperformance of xG is absolutely due to regress to the mean….
I find myself landing in the middle on that, but the edge goes to Mbeumo’s elite finishing and his overall talent being able to overperform his xG again even if not to the same degree. Mbeumo had an overall xG of 12.3xG and a post shot xG of 17.5xG; he is adding over 5xG of value to his shots due to his accuracy and clinical finishing, which is backed up by the eye test. He has every kind of finish in his locker – cut inside and curl far post, low driven near post, beating the keeper in 1 on 1 situations, volleys, half-volleys, headers, you name it.
However, he is unlikely to overperform his non penalty xG by nearly 8 goals again next season so there will be regression there unless United create a better platform for him to score goals than Brentford did, and I’m not sure that is the case.
Man United were a worse attacking side than Brentford last season. Brentford created 60.2xG to United 53.7xG and created 27 more Big Chances. Obviously Mbeumo’s talent has some part to play in this but Brentford were undoubtedly a better attacking side last season due to their coaching.
United struggle in possession in Amorim’s 3-4-2-1 system and struggle to progress the ball and create chances. Their midfield has not been improved upon so far this summer transfer window. I think they will still struggle to do those things, just less so because Cunha and Mbeumo are great players who thrive because their talent and skill sets are system proof.
Mbeumo registered 7 assists from 9.26xG last season. While Wissa and Damsgaard both had excellent seasons, the general talent level at United is superior to that at Brentford. So Mbeumo’s xA might decrease because he’s playing a system and principles of play that limits chance creation, but his teammates talent levels and finishing ability/ball striking will likely level that out. He should at least match assist tally from last season.
Mbeumo is a good dribbler, especially 1 vs 1 from that right half space outside the box to create an angle for a shot or cross. From wider areas he can beat a man 1 on 1 usually to then create a chance via a cross or cut back. The Cameroonian completed 52 successful dribbles at a success rate of 52.5% – 92nd and 73rd percentile respectively.
(Source: Fotmob.com)
Expected Minutes:
Guaranteed starter for almost every single Premier League game, especially with United not having European football. Health permitting, he will start 35 Premier League games at a minimum.
FPL Position:
Premium Midfielder
FPL Analysis:
He is a Premium Midfielder at £8.0m
He is a 20+ G/A player with extremely secure expected minutes, and he is going to be playing around Cunha and Bruno Fernandes who will create chances for him and finish the chances he creates efficiently. It is difficult to really make a case that managers shouldn’t own that player for £8.0m.
I do think his numbers may take a dip from the 27 G/A he hit last season under Thomas Frank, with the partnership he had with Wissa that was developed over years and Damsgaard performing brilliantly as the main chance creator on the team.
Man United were a worse attacking side than Brentford last season as we discussed earlier and Bruno Fernandes is still the likeliest player to take penalties.
If Mbeumo does become the man to take penalties or Bruno suffers an injury, it would then likely be his job and that would raise his FPL ceiling even further.
Mbeumo did take corners and free kicks for Brentford so does become an option for United, although Bruno and Cunha are also options so we will see who takes on what role in that department once the season begins.
Team Impact:
Mbeumo provides United with something they did not have previously, even with Cunha, and that is a bonafide goalscorer who will produce no matter what. He provide a high floor and ceiling in terms of movement, football IQ, goal threat, finishing, crossing and general chance creation from wide areas they did not have before.
The Cameroon international provides some Premier League experience and know how to a squad that desperately needs it.
Simply put, United need everything Mbeumo offers and he is a large upgrade from Amad/Zirkzee/Mount in essentially every department you would look at for someone playing in that right number 10 role.
With Mbeumo and Cunha now on the team, it is hard to see United not increasing their team xG and goal total quite significantly this season compared to last (low bar I know).
FPL Price:
£8.0m
My Prediction:
At £8.0m it is difficult to argue against owning Mbeumo, even if I do think his production and G/A will take a dip playing for this United team under Amorim. My prediction is 23 G/A which is still good value for £8.0m.
I won’t have him in my team GW1 just because I am doubtful over Amorim’s system and his ability to get the best out of players. United struggled to progress the ball up the pitch against Leeds, and this was something they struggled with last season. Going from Thomas Frank to Amorim is a downgrade.
Mbeumo also, most likely, will not be on penalties as he was at Brentford. 5 of his 20 goals last season were pens, and so we may have to think of him in terms of open play goal scoring only. And 15 goals compared to 20 is a big difference.
So while I do think, across the 38 Gameweeks, Mbeumo will still surely prove good value for £8.0m, I won’t own him early on in the season as A) he may have a slow start under a new coach who has issues of his own B) is not on pens and C) we know what and who Mbeumo is, he has played in the Premier League for years, so if my early season punts at finding great value elsewhere don’t work out, I can always just safely transfer in Mbeumo if need be.
An absolute FPL Fanatic, with a strong background in sports Journalism and statistics, Ahsan is one of the key writers here at ingenuity. Ahsan's content stretches from How-to guides right up to analytical deep dives on players, making his content appealing for both the serious fantasy player and newbie alike.
24 Jul, 2025
