How Many Wonderkids Does Football Manager Get Right?
Our resident Football Manager expert goes all the way from FM 13 to FM 22 to investigate FM’s hit rate on wonderkids through the years!
I’ve gone through every version of Football Manager from 2013 to 2023 to see how many wonderkids the game actually got right. Obviously, there are way too many to evaluate all of them, so I’ve picked the ten highest-rated wonderkids from each version and checked whether they turned out to be great or flopped in real life.
I based my selections on the ratings given by FM Scout’s wonderkids list, which is why I started in 2013. That was the first year they gave proper rankings. I’ve only chosen players who were 18 or younger at the time. That way, the list doesn’t get clogged up with players who had already made big moves and were almost guaranteed to succeed. I’m judging them on whether they reached the elite level. If they only made it as far as a decent standard – for example, a mid-table Premier League level – they go in the “in the middle” category.
With that explained, let’s start with FM13!
FM13 best wonderkids:
Laurentiu Branescu (18, goalkeeper) – Flop
Kurt Zouma (17, defender) – In the middle
Romario (18, defender) – Flop
Ryan McLaughlin (17, defender) – Flop
Leon Goretzka (17, midfielder) – Hit
Julian Draxler (18, winger) – Hit
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain (18, winger) – Hit
Gerard Deulofeu (18, winger) – In the middle
Alvaro Vadillo (17, winger) – Flop
Okay Yokuslu (18, AM) – Flop
5 flops, 2 in the middle, 3 hits
FM14 best wonderkids:
Niklas Sule (17, CB) – Hit
Luke Shaw (17, LB) – Hit
Niklas Stark (18, DM) – In the middle
Jordan Rossiter (16, DM) – Flop
Serge Gnabry (17, winger) – Hit
Otavio (18, winger) – In the middle
Adnan Januzaj (18, AM) – In the middle
Maximilian Meyer (17, AM) – Flop
Ewandro (17, ST) – Flop
Donis Avdijaj (16, ST) – Flop
4 flops, 3 in the middle, 3 hits
FM15 best wonderkids:
Valentin Cojocaru (18, GK) – Flop
Vanja Milinkovic-Savic (17, GK) – Flop
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg (18, CDM) – Hit
Ruben Neves (17, CDM) – Hit
Andres Cubas (18, CDM) – Flop
Youri Tielemans (17, CM) – Hit
Zakaria Bakkali (18, winger) – Flop
Andrija Zivkovic (17, winger) – In the middle
Martin Odegaard (15, CAM) – Hit
Gabriel Barbosa (17, ST) – In the middle
4 flops, 2 in the middle, 4 hits
FM16 best wonderkids:
Gianluigi Donnarumma (16, GK) – Hit
Bartlomiej Dragowski (17, GK) – In the middle
Jesus Vallejo (18, CB) – Flop
Riechedly Bazoer (18, DM) – Flop
Abdou Lahat Diakhate (16, CM) – Flop
Renato Sanches (17, CM) – In the middle
Leo Jaba (16, winger) – Flop
Bilal Ould-Chikh (17, winger) – Flop
Lincoln (16, CAM) – Flop
Rui Pedro (17, striker) – Flop
7 flops, 2 in the middle, 1 hit
FM17 best wonderkids:
Alban Lafont (17, GK) – In the middle
Pol Lirola (18, RB) – In the middle
Atakan Akkaynak (17, DM) – Flop
Afonso Sousa (16, CM) – Flop
Kai Havertz (17, CAM) – Hit
Kylian Mbappe (17, LW) – Hit
Christian Pulisic (17, LW) – Hit
Cipriano Marquinhos (18, RW) – Flop
Joao Felix (16, CAM) – Hit
Johannes Eggestein (18, ST) – Flop
4 flops, 2 in the middle, 4 hits
FM18 best wonderkids:
Alessandro Plizzari (17, GK) – Flop
Josh Tymon (18, LB) – Flop
Trent Alexander-Arnold (18, RB) – Hit
Federico Valverde (18, DM) – Hit
Sergio Gomez (16, CM) – In the middle
Vinicius Jr (16, LW) – Hit
Rodrygo (16, LW) – Hit
Thiago Almada (16, AM) – In the middle
Richard (17, AM) – Flop
Moise Kean (17, ST) – Hit
3 flops, 2 in the middle, 5 hits
FM19 best wonderkids:
Matthijs de Ligt (18, CB) – In the middle
Sandro Tonali (18, CDM) – Hit
Ryan Gravenberch (16, CM) – Hit
Mickael Cuisance (18, CM) – Flop
Morgan Gibbs-White (18, CM) – Hit
Jadon Sancho (18, LW) – In the middle
Jeremy Doku (16, LW) – Hit
Phil Foden (18, CAM) – Hit
Elias Abouchabaka (18, CAM) – Flop
Pietro Pellegri (17, ST) – Flop
3 flops, 2 in the middle, 5 hits
FM20 best wonderkids:
Maarten Vandevoordt (17, GK) – Flop
Rayan Ait-Nouri (18, LB) – Hit
Eduardo Camavinga (16, DM) – Hit
Pedri (16, CAM) – Hit
Rayan Cherki (15, LW) – Hit
Ansu Fati (16, LW) – In the middle
Naci Unuvar (16, LW) – Flop
Emanuel Vignato (18, RW) – Flop
Mohammed Ihattaren (17, CAM) – Flop
Mason Greenwood (17, ST) – Hit
4 flops, 1 in the middle, 5 hits
FM21 best wonderkids;
Josko Gvardiol (18, CB) – Hit
Tanguy Nianzou (18, CB) – In the middle
Nuno Mendes (18, LB) – Hit
Riccardo Calafiori (18, LB) – Hit
Illaix Moriba (17, CM) – In the middle
Pierre Dwomoh (16, CM) – Flop
Jude Bellingham (17, CAM) – Hit
Nico Serrano (17, LW) – Flop
Yeremi Pino (17, RW) – In the middle
Youssoufa Moukoko (15, ST) – In the middle
2 flops, 4 in the middle, 4 hits
FM22 best wonderkids:
Giorgio Scalvini (17, CB) – Hit
Destiny Udogie (18, LB) – Hit
Tino Livramento (18, RB) – Hit
Rafael Luis (16, DM) – Flop
Gavi (16, CM) – Hit
Takuhiro Nakai (17, CM) – Flop
Jamal Musiala (18, LW) – Hit
Harvey Elliott (18, RW) – Hit
Hugo Felix (17, CAM) – Flop
Fabio Silva (18, ST) – Flop
4 flops, 6 hits
Conclusion:
Total out of 100:
Flops = 40 In the middle = 20 Hits = 40
So, exactly half flops and half hits. Pretty symmetrical. It shows that when it comes to these super-young wonderkids, things can go either way. But the numbers do suggest that Football Manager has become more accurate as the years have gone on.
Check out our full, in depth FM 26 Release Date article, which is constantly updated when we get news on anything FM 26 related!
William Reid is the admin of Out of Context Football Manager, an X account dedicated to all things FM. A former Social Editor at LADbible Group, he now brings his deep knowledge of the game to Ingenuity Connect as our resident fantasy football expert.